Arrive Ai Stock Performance
| ARAI Stock | 1.68 0.01 0.59% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.86, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arrive AI will likely underperform. At this point, Arrive AI has a negative expected return of -1.45%. Please make sure to confirm Arrive AI's kurtosis, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and day typical price , to decide if Arrive AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Arrive AI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
1 | Arrive AI Inc.s largest shareholder, CEO Daniel OToole sees holdings value fall by 24 percent following recent drop | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Neerav Shah of 1390 shares of Arrive AI at 3.534 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/19/2025 |
3 | Arrive AI Inc. Secures 3M in New Financial Agreement - TipRanks | 12/08/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Otoole Lora Taylor of 12082 shares of Arrive AI subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Mark Hamm of 124969 shares of Arrive AI subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
6 | Arrive AI Celebrates 2025 Milestones | 01/07/2026 |
7 | Indianas National Drone Site Puts Arrive AI at the Center of Autonomous Delivery Scale | 01/15/2026 |
8 | Selling Arrive AI Shares at a Lower Price Than Current Market Value May Have Been a Costly Mistake for Insiders | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Dan OToole Executes the Arrive AI Play Book | 01/26/2026 |
10 | Arrive AI Signs Multiple Financing Agreements - TradingView | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 325.5 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -114.7 K |
Arrive AI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 441.00 in Arrive AI on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (272.93) from holding Arrive AI or give up 61.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arrive AI is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.8517% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Arrive, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Arrive AI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Arrive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.68 | 90 days | 1.68 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrive AI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Arrive AI probability density function shows the probability of Arrive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Arrive AI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arrive AI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrive AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arrive AI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrive AI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrive AI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrive AI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrive AI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Arrive AI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrive AI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrive AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arrive AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arrive AI may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Arrive AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arrive AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.1 K). | |
| Arrive AI generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Arrive AI has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arrive AI Signs Multiple Financing Agreements - TradingView |
Arrive AI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrive AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrive AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.3 K |
Arrive AI Fundamentals Growth
Arrive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arrive AI, and Arrive AI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arrive Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.02 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 305.19 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 33.02 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 50.64 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (120.1 K) | ||||
| EBITDA | (4.5 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (4.54 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 19.08 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.20 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.29 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.19) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 346.09 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 987.79 K | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (15.92 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (1.34 M) | ||||
About Arrive AI Performance
By evaluating Arrive AI's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Arrive AI's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Arrive AI has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arrive AI has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (7.31) | (7.67) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 4.21 | 3.04 | |
| Return On Assets | (5.28) | (5.55) | |
| Return On Equity | 4.15 | 3.69 |
Things to note about Arrive AI performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrive AI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrive AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arrive AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arrive AI may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Arrive AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Arrive AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.1 K). | |
| Arrive AI generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Arrive AI has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arrive AI Signs Multiple Financing Agreements - TradingView |
- Analyzing Arrive AI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arrive AI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Arrive AI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Arrive AI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arrive AI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arrive AI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arrive AI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Arrive Stock analysis
When running Arrive AI's price analysis, check to measure Arrive AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrive AI is operating at the current time. Most of Arrive AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrive AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrive AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrive AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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